Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 69.03% ( | 17% ( | 13.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( | 30.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( | 52.23% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( | 8.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.5% ( | 28.5% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( | 34.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( | 71.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 4-1 @ 4.94% ( 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 17% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.96% |