Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 49.65% ( | 21.18% ( | 29.17% |
| Both teams to score 69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.24% ( | 29.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.1% ( | 50.9% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.39% ( | 12.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.28% ( | 38.71% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% | 21.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( | 53.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 2-0 @ 5.69% 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-0 @ 2.65% 3-3 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-4 @ 1.35% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.17% |