Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 7, 2024 at 6am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Western Utd
1 - 2
Melbourne City

Ruhs (13', 13')
Lustica (50'), Lustica (50'), Thurgate (82'), Thurgate (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sakhi (52', 52'), Antonis (83', 83')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 8-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, December 28 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Melbourne City
25.2% ( 0.01)	21.88% ( 0.23)	52.92% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 62.58% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

-1.09)

36.6% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

-1.2)

58.76% (

1.2)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.58)

27.23% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.75)

62.65% (

0.76)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

-0.45)

14% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49% (

-0.89)

41.51% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Western United 25.2%

Melbourne City 52.92%

Draw 21.88%

Western United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 25.2%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.65% Total : 52.92%