Jan 7, 2024 6.00am

1

2

HT : 2 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Michael Ruhs 13'
Michael Ruhs 13'
Steven Lustica 50'
Steven Lustica 50'
Angus Thurgate 82'
Angus Thurgate 82'

Hamza Sakhi 52'
Hamza Sakhi 52'
Terry Antonis 83'
Terry Antonis 83'

Western United vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
L

Australian A-League

L
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Dec 30, 2023 6.30am

Newcastle Jets 2 - 0 Western Utd

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Michael Ruhs

Melbourne City

All competitions

W
D
D
D
W
W

Australian A-League

W
D
D
W
W
L

Last game

Dec 28, 2023 8.45am

Melbourne City 8 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Tolgay Arslan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result

Western United 25.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 21.88% ▲ (+0.23)

Melbourne City 52.92% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score:

62.58% ▼ (-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.4% ▼ (-1.09)

Under 2.5 36.6% ▲ (+1.10)

Over 3.5 41.25% ▼ (-1.20)

Under 3.5 58.76% ▲ (+1.20)

Over 4.5 23.15% ▼ (-0.99)

Under 4.5 76.85% ▲ (+0.99)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 72.77% ▼ (-0.58)

Under 0.5 27.23% ▲ (+0.58)

Over 1.5 37.35% ▼ (-0.76)

Under 1.5 62.65% ▲ (+0.77)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 86.01% ▼ (-0.45)

Under 0.5 14% ▲ (+0.46)

Over 1.5 58.49% ▼ (-0.89)

Under 1.5 41.51% ▲ (+0.90)

Score analysis

Western United 25.2%

Draw 21.88%

Melbourne City 52.92%

Western United

2-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.04)

1-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.19)

2-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.07)

3-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.04)

3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.83%

Total : 25.2%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.21)

2-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.08)

0-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.21)

3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 0.31%

Total : 21.88%

Melbourne City

1-2 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.05)

0-1 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.28)

0-2 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.16)

1-3 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.08)

0-3 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.12)

1-4 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.09)

0-4 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)

2-4 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.10)

1-5 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 4.59%

Total : 52.92%

Head to Head

Oct 21, 2023 7.30am

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Tolgay Arslan 62'
Hamza Sakhi 73'
Callum Talbot 90'+4'

Josh Risdon 5'
Daniel Penha 53'
Lachlan Wales 60'
Noah Botic 87'

Apr 22, 2023 10.45am

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Whitten Oval

Dylan Pierias 38'

Jamie MacLaren 13'
Jamie MacLaren 66'
Jamie MacLaren 74'

Jan 7, 2023 8.45am

4

0

HT : 3 0

FT AAMI Park

Marco Tilio 9'
Leo Lacroix 12'
Jamie MacLaren 25'
Andrew Nabbout 84'

Oct 7, 2022 9.45am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT AAMI Park

Leo Lacroix 38'
Jamie MacLaren 59'

Nicolas Milanovic 90'+2'

May 28, 2022 10.45am

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT AAMI Park

Nuno Reis 2' (OG)
Aleksandar Prijovic 30'
Dylan Wenzel-Halls 65'
Lachlan Wales 84'

Mar 12, 2022 6.05am

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT

Leo Lacroix 16'
Rene Krhin 30'
Tomoki Imai 35'
Aleksandar Prijovic 42'
Leo Lacroix 76'

Connor Metcalfe 42'
Jamie MacLaren 65'

Form Data

Newcastle Jets 2 - 0 Western Utd

Sydney FC 4 - 2 Western Utd

Western Utd 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Central Coast 4 - 0 Western Utd

Western Utd 0 - 1 Wellington

Western Utd 1 - 3 Adelaide United

Melbourne City 8 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City 0 - 0 Victory

Melbourne City 3 - 3 Central Coast

Melbourne City 1 - 1 Zhejiang

Perth Glory 1 - 2 Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets 0 - 2 Melbourne City