Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Dec 23, 2023 at 6.30am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
4 - 2
Western Utd

Gomes (26'), Lolley (40', 90+2'), Rodwell (47')
Girdwood-Reich (3'), Amanatidis (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Thurgate (5'), Grimaldi (83')
Risdon (16')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 3-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 15 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 21.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Western United
58.24% ( 0.53)	19.83% ( -0.09)	21.93% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 66.03% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.66% (

-0.1)

30.34% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.4% (

-0.12)

51.61% (

0.13)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.56% (

0.11)

10.44% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.97% (

0.23)

34.03% (

-0.22)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-0.39)

26.28% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

-0.54)

61.4% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 58.24%

Western United 21.93%

Draw 19.83%

Sydney FC	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.24%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.83%	1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 21.93%