Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 15, 2023 at 7am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Penha (83' pen.), Risdon (90+1')
Aloisi (71'), Grimaldi (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Shea (69' pen.)
Zabala (10'), O'Shea (31'), Lofthouse (37')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Western Utd
Friday, December 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
34.27% ( -0.19)	23.23% ( 0)	42.49% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 63.85% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.45% (

-0.08)

37.55% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.22% (

-0.09)

59.78% (

0.09)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

-0.14)

22% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

-0.21)

55.31% (

0.21)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.86% (

0.04)

18.13% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9% (

0.07)

49.1% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Western United 34.27%

Brisbane Roar 42.5%

Draw 23.22%

Western United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.5%