Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2023 8.45am
8
1
HT : 3 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Curtis Good 10' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 14' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 34' goal
  • Leo Natel 48' goal
  • Hamza Sakhi 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 58' goal
  • Leo Natel 70' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 76' goal
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 85' goal
  • goal Rylan Brownlie 62'

Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
Melbourne City 0 - 0 Victory
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tolgay Arslan

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 21, 2023 9.00am
Brisbane Roar 0 - 3 Central Coast
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thomas Waddingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 56.22% (+0.34)
Draw 20.51% (-0.32)
Brisbane Roar 23.26% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.32% (+1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.96% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 32.04% (-1.53)
Over 3.5 46.39% (+1.76)
Under 3.5 53.61% (-1.77)
Over 4.5 27.5% (+1.53)
Under 4.5 72.49% (-1.53)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 88.5% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 11.5% (-0.59)
Over 1.5 63.63% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 36.37% (-1.26)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (+0.84)
Under 0.5 26.19% (-0.84)
Over 1.5 38.72% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 61.28% (-1.12)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 56.22%
Draw 20.51%
Brisbane Roar 23.26%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.39)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.56% (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.68% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 2.75% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.47% (+0.15)
5-1 @ 1.59% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.19% (+0.05)
4-3 @ 1.1% (+0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-97.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 6.32% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 2.04% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.51%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 23.26%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 12, 2023 4.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Aiden O'Neill 22' goal
  • Aiden O'Neill 88' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 22'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 38'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Henry Hore 9' goal
  • Tom Aldred 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Trewin 14' (OG)
  • goal Raphael Borges Rodrigues 49'
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Hall 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Nov 19, 2021 8.45am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Curtis Good 40' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 43' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 89' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Ivanovic 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
May 25, 2021 10.05am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jay O'Shea 6' goal
  • Rahmat Akbari 34' yellowcard
  • Dylan Wenzel-Halls 36' yellowcard
  • Alex Parsons 38' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 52' goal
  • yellowcard Alec Mills 51'
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 61'
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 69'