Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 28, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
8 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Good (10'), MacLaren (14', 34', 58'), Natel (48', 70'), Arslan (76'), Mazzeo (85')
Sakhi (45+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Brownlie (62')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-3 Central Coast
Thursday, December 21 at 9am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
56.22% ( 0.33)	20.51% ( -0.31)	23.26% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 65.32% (

1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.96% (

1.52)

32.04% (

-1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.39% (

1.76)

53.61% (

-1.76)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5% (

0.58)

11.5% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.63% (

1.25)

36.37% (

-1.25)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

0.84)

26.19% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

1.11)

61.28% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 56.22%

Brisbane Roar 23.26%

Draw 20.51%

Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.22%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.51%	1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.26%