Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 3-1 (5.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 43.44% ( | 22.22% ( | 34.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% ( | 32.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% ( | 54.1% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( | 15.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% ( | 44.79% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( | 19.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 4-2 @ 2% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 7% ( 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-3 @ 2.35% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.34% |