Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Allianz Stadium

Brisbane Roar
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets

O'Shea (61', 90' pen.), Markovski (82')
Aldred (13'), Lethlean (77'), Majok (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Stamatelopoulos (18'), Cancar (65')
Stynes (49')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 5 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Newcastle Jets
45.57% ( -0.01)	22.85% ( -0)	31.58% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 64.16% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.31% (

0.02)

36.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.15% (

0.02)

58.85% (

-0.01)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

16.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.64% (

46.36%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.02)

23.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

0.02)

56.94% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 45.57%

Newcastle Jets 31.58%

Draw 22.85%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 4.44% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.58%