Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 19, 2024 at 6am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Wellington
1 - 1
Victory

Rufer (90+5' pen., 90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Velupillay (40', 40'), Chapman (79', 79', 79')
Traore (36'), Traore (36')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-4 Wellington
Sunday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 13 at 6.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
31.03% (1.201 1.2)23.22% (0.371 0.37)45.75% (-1.57 -1.57)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-1.131 -1.13)38.76% (1.133 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-1.203 -1.2)61.07% (1.205 1.21)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.181 0.18)24.43% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.253 0.25)58.85% (-0.251 -0.25)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-1.03 -1.03)17.31% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (-1.837 -1.84)47.67% (1.84 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 31.03%
    Melbourne Victory 45.75%
    Draw 23.22%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.219 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.343 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.03%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.223 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Wellington vs Victory

Wellington Phoenix
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Melbourne Victory
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
Feb 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 12
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Piscopo (74')
Ball (57'), Fenton (76'), Piscopo (90')
rhs 2.0


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