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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 19, 2024 at 6am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Wellington
1 - 1
Victory

Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 3-4 Wellington
Sunday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 13 at 6.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
31.03% (1.201 1.2) 23.22% (0.371 0.37) 45.75% (-1.57 -1.57)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-1.131 -1.13)38.76% (1.133 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-1.203 -1.2)61.07% (1.205 1.21)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.181 0.18)24.43% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.253 0.25)58.85% (-0.251 -0.25)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-1.03 -1.03)17.31% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (-1.837 -1.84)47.67% (1.84 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 31.03%
    Melbourne Victory 45.75%
    Draw 23.22%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.219 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.343 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.03%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.223 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Wellington vs Victory

Wellington Phoenix
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Melbourne Victory
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
Feb 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 12
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Piscopo (74')
Ball (57'), Fenton (76'), Piscopo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


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