Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Dec 23, 2023 at 4.30am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
2 - 0
Western Sydney

Barbarouses (90+1', 90+1'), Old (90+4', 90+4')
Rufer (31'), Rufer (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Milanovic (75'), Milanovic (75')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Wellington
Monday, December 18 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
31.19% ( 0.92)	21.95% ( 0.4)	46.86% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 67.36% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.58% (

-1.47)

32.42% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.94% (

-1.72)

54.06% (

1.73)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

-0.21)

21.23% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

-0.33)

54.14% (

0.34)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-0.98)

14.48% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54% (

-1.92)

42.46% (

1.93)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 31.19%

Western Sydney Wanderers 46.86%

Draw 21.95%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.86%