Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 29, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FC
3 - 1
Wellington

Grant (11'), Mak (86'), Gomes (90+4')
Kucharski (25'), Rodwell (33'), Girdwood-Reich (43'), Mak (63'), Burgess (83'), Wood (90+1'), Gomes (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barbarouses (81')
Sutton (88')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 23 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
58.33% ( 0.7)	20.43% ( -0.02)	21.23% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 62.62% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.72% (

-0.83)

34.28% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.82% (

-0.94)

56.18% (

0.95)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

-0.07)

11.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.33% (

-0.16)

36.67% (

0.16)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-1.06)

29.14% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-1.33)

65.07% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 58.34%

Wellington Phoenix 21.23%

Draw 20.43%

Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.43%	1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.14% Total : 21.23%