Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 4, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
2 - 2
Wellington

Ibusuki (26', 55')
Irankunda (37'), Tunnicliffe (41'), Popovic (43'), Ibusuki (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barbarouses (15', 46')
Paulsen (77'), van Hattum (90+2')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-1 Wellington
Friday, December 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
52.34% ( -0.51)	21.11% ( -0.05)	26.54% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 66.92% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.47% (

0.76)

31.53% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.98% (

0.89)

53.01% (

-0.89)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

0.11)

12.43% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

0.23)

38.34% (

-0.23)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

0.77)

23.58% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

1.11)

57.64% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 52.34%

Wellington Phoenix 26.54%

Draw 21.11%

Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.34%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.11%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.54%