Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Spotless Stadium

Perth Glory
3 - 4
Wellington

Taggart (7'), Susnjar (50'), Carluccio (70')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barbarouses (29', 73'), Rufer (45+2'), Payne (57')
Sutton (53'), Surman (65'), Kraev (82')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-3 Victory
Saturday, January 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Wellington
Thursday, January 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
35.47% ( -2.39)	22.81% ( -0.57)	41.71% ( 2.96)

Both teams to score 65.75% (

1.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.81% (

2.62)

35.19% (

-2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.8% (

2.85)

57.2% (

-2.86)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.01)

20.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

0.02)

52.67% (

-0.02)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5% (

2.39)

17.49% (

-2.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.01% (

4.02)

47.99% (

-4.03)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 35.47%

Wellington Phoenix 41.71%

Draw 22.81%

Perth Glory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.78) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.62) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.47%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.3) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.36) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.71%