Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 4, 2024 at 8am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
4 - 3
Western Sydney

Germain (18' pen., 45+4', 90+3'), Borges Rodrigues (32')
Adamson (8'), Hollman (72')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Brook (20', 42'), Milanovic (28')
Rudan (9'), Badolato (38'), Marcelo (53'), Scicluna (74'), Priestman (90+6')
Beadling (52')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, January 28 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 27 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
34.75% ( -0.25)	22.9% ( 0.03)	42.35% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 65.24% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.21% (

-0.2)

35.79% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.14% (

-0.22)

57.86% (

0.23)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.22)

20.94% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.35)

53.68% (

0.35)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

0.02)

17.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

0.02)

47.97% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 34.75%

Western Sydney Wanderers 42.35%

Draw 22.9%

Macarthur	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.75%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.1% Total : 42.35%