Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.