Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
32.01% ( 0.31) | 22.96% ( 0.17) | 45.03% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% ( -0.69) | 37.02% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% ( -0.75) | 59.21% ( 0.74) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.16) | 23% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( -0.23) | 56.81% ( 0.23) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.09% ( -0.45) | 16.91% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.04% ( -0.8) | 46.96% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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