Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 27, 2024 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Western Utd
0 - 1
Western Sydney

Grimaldi (90+1'), Grimaldi (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brook (35', 35')
Priestman (63'), Priestman (63'), Milanovic (71'), Milanovic (71')
Simmons (66'), Simmons (66')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 3-3 Western Utd
Friday, January 12 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 20 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
32.01% ( 0.31)	22.96% ( 0.17)	45.03% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 63.98% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.98% (

-0.69)

37.02% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.79% (

-0.75)

59.21% (

0.74)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.16)

23% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-0.23)

56.81% (

0.23)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09% (

-0.45)

16.91% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.04% (

-0.8)

46.96% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Western United 32.01%

Western Sydney Wanderers 45.03%

Draw 22.95%

Western United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.01%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.03%