Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
1 - 1
Sydney FC

Machach (17')
Marchan (90+1'), Miranda (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Courtney-Perkins (10')
Brattan (69')
Wood (36')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Sydney FC
44.96% ( -0.74)	23.01% ( 0.21)	32.03% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 63.81% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.75% (

-0.77)

37.25% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.54% (

-0.83)

59.46% (

0.83)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98% (

-0.58)

17.02% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.84% (

-1.04)

47.16% (

1.04)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.06)

23.1% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.1)

56.95% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 44.96%

Sydney FC 32.03%

Draw 23%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.96%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.03%