Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 19, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
4 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Wood (40'), Lolley (66'), Burgess (76', 79')
Girdwood-Reich (19'), Lacerda (33'), Brattan (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.62% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets
60.33% ( -0.11)	19.04% ( 0.04)	20.62% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 67.01% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.74% (

-0.13)

28.26% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.93% (

-0.16)

49.06% (

0.16)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.69% (

-0.06)

9.31% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.58% (

-0.15)

31.42% (

0.15)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89% (

-0.03)

26.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83% (

-0.04)

61.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 60.33%

Newcastle Jets 20.62%

Draw 19.04%

Sydney FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 60.33%	1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.04%	1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 20.62%