Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 16, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Western Utd
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Penha (16' pen.), Botic (55')
Shamoon (36'), Risdon (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
42.11% ( 0.1)	23.82% ( 0.01)	34.06% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 61.57% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.49% (

-0.1)

40.5% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.11% (

-0.1)

62.88% (

0.1)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

19.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59% (

51.41% (

-0.01)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-0.11)

23.5% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

-0.16)

57.53% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Western United 42.11%

Newcastle Jets 34.06%

Draw 23.82%

Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.06%