Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 3, 2024 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Western Utd
2 - 2
Sydney FC

Botic (45+3', 45+3'), Garuccio (53', 53')
Risdon (10'), Risdon (10'), Vidmar (35'), Vidmar (35'), Ruhs (55'), Ruhs (55')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Gomes (36' pen., 36' pen.), Girdwood-Reich (43', 43')
Lacerda (3'), Lacerda (3'), Gomes (67'), Gomes (67')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 27 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Sydney FC
33.67% ( 0.66)	23.77% ( 0.25)	42.56% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61% (

-0.98)

40.39% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24% (

-1.02)

62.77% (

1.03)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

-0.09)

23.67% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

-0.13)

57.77% (

0.14)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.78)

19.28% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99% (

-1.31)

51.01% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Western United 33.67%

Sydney FC 42.56%

Draw 23.77%

Western United	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.67%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.3% Total : 42.56%