Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 27, 2024 at 7am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Wellington

Buhagiar (80', 80')
Stamatelopoulos (23'), Stamatelopoulos (23'), Natta (77'), Natta (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rufer (5' pen., 5' pen.), Zawada (87', 87')
Al-Taay (43'), Al-Taay (43'), Pennington (45+3'), Pennington (45+3'), Rufer (85'), Rufer (85')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 23 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
53.19% ( 2.83)	21.74% ( -0.21)	25.07% ( -2.62)

Both teams to score 62.96% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.94% (

-1.35)

36.05% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.84% (

-1.5)

58.16% (

1.5)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.28% (

0.43)

13.72% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.03% (

0.84)

40.97% (

-0.84)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

-2.54)

27.03% (

2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61% (

-3.45)

62.39% (

3.45)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 53.19%

Wellington Phoenix 25.07%

Draw 21.74%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.19%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.88% Total : 25.07%