Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 23, 2024 at 8am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Stamatelopoulos (29', 54'), Mauragis (57')
Grimaldi (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Majok (71')
Markovski (45'), Neville (58'), Zabala (75')
O'Shea (45+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-3 Macarthur
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Brisbane Roar
41.18% ( -3.79)	22.91% ( 0.4)	35.91% ( 3.38)

Both teams to score 65.48% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

-1.02)

35.58% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.36% (

-1.13)

57.64% (

1.13)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-1.9)

17.88% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34% (

-3.38)

48.65% (

3.38)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

1.28)

20.26% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

52.61% (

-2)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 41.18%

Brisbane Roar 35.91%

Draw 22.91%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.37) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.3) Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.56) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.23) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.91%