Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 11, 2024 at 6am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
3 - 3
Newcastle Jets

Brook (28', 28', 31', 31'), Marcelo (90+2', 90+2')
Russell (36'), Russell (36'), Cleur (76'), Cleur (76')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Buhagiar (5', 5'), Stamatelopoulos (50' pen., 50' pen., 70', 70')
Grozos (56'), Grozos (56'), Grimaldi (66'), Grimaldi (66')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 4 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Victory
Saturday, February 3 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle Jets
57.86% ( 0.54)	20.15% ( -0.17)	21.99% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 64.88% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.15% (

0.36)

31.85% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.61% (

0.42)

53.39% (

-0.41)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.99% (

0.25)

11.01% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.71% (

0.56)

35.29% (

-0.55)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

-0.09)

27.1% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

-0.12)

62.48% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 57.86%

Newcastle Jets 21.99%

Draw 20.15%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.15%	1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.7% Total : 21.99%