Australian A-League
Gameweek
16
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-
Nicholas Pennington
3'
-
Nicholas Pennington
3'
-
James Donachie
47'
-
James Donachie
47'
-
Alex Paulsen
90'+3'
-
Alex Paulsen
90'+3'
-
Sebastian Pasquali
26'
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Sebastian Pasquali
26'
-
James Donachie
70'
-
James Donachie
70'
Wellington Phoenix vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result
Wellington Phoenix
41.68%
▼
(-0.29)
Draw
23.26%
▲
(+0.27)
Western United
35.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
63.93%
▼
(-1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.47%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 2.5
37.52%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 3.5
40.25%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 3.5
59.75%
▲
(+1.44)
Over 4.5
22.34%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 4.5
77.66%
▲
(+1.17)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
81.53%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 0.5
18.47%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 1.5
50.33%
▼
(-1.14)
Under 1.5
49.67%
▲
(+1.14)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5
78.42%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 0.5
21.58%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 1.5
45.32%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 1.5
54.67%
▲
(+0.93)
Score analysis
Wellington Phoenix
41.68%
Draw
23.26%
Western United
35.05%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1
@
8.72%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 41.68%
1-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 41.68%
Draw
1-1
@
10.32%
▲
(+0.26)
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.26%
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.26%
Western United
1-2
@
7.91%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 35.05%
0-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 35.05%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
6
-
Jacob Tratt
3'
-
Jacob Tratt
3'
-
Steven Lustica
33'
-
Steven Lustica
33'
-
Nicholas Pennington
33'
-
Nicholas Pennington
33'
-
Alex Rufer
59'
-
Alex Rufer
59'
-
Ben Old
79'
-
Ben Old
79'
-
Sam Sutton
90'+3'
-
Sam Sutton
90'+3'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
17
-
Yan Sasse
19'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
58'
-
Oskar Zawada
64'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
6
-
Oskar Zawada
22'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
59'
-
Jacob Tratt
64'
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
84'
-
Alessandro Diamanti
90'+5'
Australian A-League
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
10'
-
Tomoki Imai
37'
-
Nicolas Milanovic
87'
-
Rhys Bozinovski
90'+3'
-
Connor Pain
90'+3'
-
Clayton Lewis
51'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
11
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
34'
-
Leo Lacroix
47'
-
Steven Lustica
54'
-
Gael Sandoval
21'
-
Scott Wootton
29'
-
Jaushua Sotirio
32'
-
Gael Sandoval
45'+2'
-
Jaushua Sotirio
63'
-
Callan Elliot
84'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
-
Gael Sandoval
16'
-
Gary Hooper
35'
-
Steven Lustica
6'
-
Josh Risdon
57'
-
Tomoki Imai
90'+1'
-
Steven Lustica
90'+4'