Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 10, 2024 at 4.45am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
2 - 0
Western Utd

Pennington (3', 3'), Donachie (47' og., 47' og.)
Paulsen (90+3'), Paulsen (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pasquali (26'), Pasquali (26'), Donachie (70'), Donachie (70')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Western United
41.68% ( -0.28)	23.26% ( 0.27)	35.05% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.93% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.47% (

-1.32)

37.52% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.25% (

-1.43)

59.75% (

1.43)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

-0.66)

18.47% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

-1.13)

49.67% (

1.13)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42% (

-0.6)

21.58% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

-0.93)

54.67% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 41.68%

Western United 35.05%

Draw 23.26%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.05%