Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 43.19% ( | 23.18% ( | 33.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.48% ( | 37.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.26% ( | 59.74% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( | 17.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( | 48.58% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( | 55.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.89% Total : 43.19% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.63% |