Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 56.34% ( | 20.05% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.66% ( | 29.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.61% ( | 50.38% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( | 10.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.59% ( | 34.4% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 4.85% ( 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-3 @ 1.28% ( 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 5-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-3 @ 2.28% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.6% |