Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 21, 2024 at 7am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Theoharous (50'), Torres (88')
Theoharous (40'), Hall (90+10'), Vukovic (90+10'), Hall (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ugarkovic (79')
Good (33'), Talbot (56'), Ugarkovic (84'), Arslan (90+10'), Antonis (90+10')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 13 at 6.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Western Sydney
Friday, January 12 at 9.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (5.04%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
36.93% ( 0.3)	21.88% ( 0.01)	41.19% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 69.71% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.84% (

0.01)

30.16% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.61% (

0.02)

51.39% (

-0.02)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63% (

0.14)

17.37% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.23% (

0.24)

47.77% (

-0.24)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

-0.11)

15.63% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36% (

-0.21)

44.64% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 36.93%

Melbourne City 41.19%

Draw 21.88%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 41.19%