Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 25, 2024 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Jason Geria 21' yellowcard
  • Jason Geria 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 47' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 47' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 59' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 59' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 80' redcard
  • Roderick Miranda 80' redcard
  • Jordi Valadon 90' redcard
  • Jordi Valadon 90' redcard
  • goal Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
  • goal Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 56'
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 56'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 65'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 65'
  • redcard Ronald Barcellos Arantes 90'+7'
  • redcard Ronald Barcellos 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 90'+10'

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 20, 2024 8.00am
Victory 2 - 1 Western Utd
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 18, 2024 6.00am
Central Coast 1 - 0 Western Sydney
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Angel Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 42.04% (-0.45)
Draw 23.69% (+0.07)
Central Coast Mariners 34.27% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.12% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.19% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 39.8% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 37.84% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 62.16% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 20.43% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 79.57% (+0.18)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 80.74% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 19.26% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 49.01% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 50.98% (+0.46)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 23.05% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 43.12% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 56.88% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 42.04%
Draw 23.69%
Central Coast Mariners 34.27%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 42.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.69%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.78% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.27%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 6.15am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Alou Kuol 29' yellowcard
  • Jacob Farrell 75' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 89' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 7'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 25'
  • goal Daniel Arzani 33'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 84'
  • yellowcard Nishan Velupillay 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Dec 3, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Alou Kuol 16' goal
  • Alou Kuol 16' goal
  • Max Balard 49' yellowcard
  • Max Balard 49' yellowcard
  • Brian Kaltack 56' yellowcard
  • Brian Kaltack 56' yellowcard
  • Angel Torres 73' goal
  • Angel Torres 73' goal
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 52'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 52'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 68'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 68'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2023 6.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Bruno Fornaroli 16' goal
  • Fernando Romero 56' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 31, 2022 8.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Jason Cummings 11' goal
  • Jason Cummings 53' goal
  • goal Cadete 39'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2022 6.05am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lewis Miller 28' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Muller 84' goal
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 38'
  • yellowcard Ivan Kelava 45'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leigh Broxham 73' yellowcard
  • Jason Davidson 89' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 52'