Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 18, 2024 at 6am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 0
Western Sydney

Doka (83' pen., 83' pen.)
Farrell (31'), Farrell (31'), Graham Jackson (32'), Jackson (32'), Hall (49'), Hall (49'), Theoharous (58'), Theoharous (58'), Vukovic (90+6'), Vukovic (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
52.46% ( 1.06)	21.26% ( -0.04)	26.27% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 66.05% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.45% (

-0.67)

32.55% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.79% (

-0.77)

54.21% (

0.78)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

0.09)

12.74% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.01% (

0.18)

38.99% (

-0.18)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

-1.02)

24.3% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

-1.46)

58.68% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 52.46%

Western Sydney Wanderers 26.27%

Draw 21.26%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 52.46%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.27%