Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
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-
Nishan Velupillay
13'
-
Damien Da Silva
90'+5'
-
Damien Da Silva
90'+8'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
90'+8'
-
Michael Ruhs
17'
-
Tomoki Imai
21'
-
Daniel Penha
60'
Melbourne Victory vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result
Melbourne Victory
47.9%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
22.95%
▲
(+0.09)
Western United
29.15%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
62.29%
▼
(-0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.48%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 2.5
38.52%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 3.5
39.18%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 3.5
60.81%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 4.5
21.49%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 4.5
78.51%
▲
(+0.46)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
83.59%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
16.4%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
53.94%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
46.05%
▲
(+0.28)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5
74.51%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
25.48%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
39.67%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 1.5
60.32%
▲
(+0.56)
Score analysis
Melbourne Victory
47.9%
Draw
22.95%
Western United
29.15%
Melbourne Victory
2-1
@
9.34%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 47.9%
1-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 47.9%
Draw
1-1
@
10.33%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.95%
2-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.95%
Western United
1-2
@
7.06%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 29.15%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
20
-
Bruno Fornaroli
50'
-
Noah Botic
38'
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
69'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
-
Josh Risdon
45'+1'
Australian A-League
-
Jake Brimmer
37'
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
18'
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
49'
-
Josh Risdon
66'
-
Lachlan Wales
78'
-
Neil Kilkenny
81'
-
Dylan Wenzel-Halls
90'+9'
Australian A-League
-
Josh Risdon
56'
-
Connor Pain
69'
-
Jake Brimmer
50'
-
Jake Brimmer
74'
-
Chris Ikonomidis
77'
-
Tony Popovic
89'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
13
-
Rai Marchan
78'
-
Brendan Hamill
85'
-
Roderick Miranda
90'+2'
-
Josh Risdon
13'
-
Tomoki Imai
40'
-
Nikolai Topor-Stanley
47'
-
Lachlan Wales
90'+4'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
6
-
Jason Geria
18'
-
Joshua Brillante
19'
-
Jason Davidson
37'
-
Nicholas D'Agostino
90'+4'
-
Aleksandar Prijovic
87'