Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 2, 2024 at 6am UK

Mars Stadium (Ballarat)

Western Utd
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Botic (53', 53')
Garuccio (90+4'), Garuccio (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rawlins (33'), Rawlins (33')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Perth Glory
44.99% ( 0.27)	23.44% ( -0.07)	31.57% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 61.97% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.44% (

0.25)

39.56% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.09% (

0.27)

61.91% (

-0.27)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

0.21)

17.93% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.26% (

0.36)

48.74% (

-0.36)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

24.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.05% (

58.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Western United 44.99%

Perth Glory 31.57%

Draw 23.43%

Western United	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 44.99%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.57%