Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 43.03% ( | 22.14% ( | 34.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.08% ( | 31.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.53% ( | 53.47% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( | 15.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% ( | 44.67% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( | 19.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( | 50.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 2-2 @ 7.04% ( 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-3 @ 2.4% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.82% |