Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 10, 2024 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
0 - 3
Central Coast

Davila (22'), Davila (22'), Nicolaou (38'), Nicolaou (38'), Jurman (47'), Jurman (47'), Baccus (90'), Baccus (90')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Nisbet (8', 8'), Barcellos (19', 19'), Edmondson (55', 55')
Barcellos (10'), Barcellos (10')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, March 2 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
30.37% ( -0.08)	21.99% ( -0.02)	47.64% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 66.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.95% (

0.04)

33.05% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.22% (

0.04)

54.78% (

-0.05)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

-0.03)

22% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

-0.04)

55.32% (

0.04)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

0.05)

14.45% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.6% (

0.09)

42.4% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 30.37%

Central Coast Mariners 47.64%

Draw 21.99%

Macarthur	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 30.37%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.64%