Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 18, 2024 at 7.01am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 2
Wellington

Oliveira (78', 78')
Lewis (22'), Lewis (22'), M'Mombwa (75'), M'Mombwa (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Barbarouses (31' pen., 31' pen., 73', 73')
Ball (24'), Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Hughes (54'), Delfin Salas Gomez (90+4'), Zawada (90+4'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
50.76% ( -1.36)	20.91% ( -0.12)	28.34% ( 1.48)

Both teams to score 69.36% (

1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.97% (

1.8)

29.03% (

-1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.99% (

2.18)

50.01% (

-2.17)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

0.23)

12.02% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.5% (

0.48)

37.49% (

-0.48)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

1.85)

21.15% (

-1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.99% (

2.79)

54.01% (

-2.79)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 50.76%

Wellington Phoenix 28.34%

Draw 20.91%

Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.5) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.91%	1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.16) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.34%