Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.01%) and 3-2 (4.61%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
40.59% (![]() | 21.45% (![]() | 37.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.22% (![]() | 27.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.54% (![]() | 48.46% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.13% (![]() | 14.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.79% (![]() | 43.2% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% (![]() | 15.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.89% (![]() | 45.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.89% (![]() 3-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 8.28% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 7.62% (![]() 1-3 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.8% Total : 37.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |