Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 1, 2024 at 9.28am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
2 - 0
Melbourne City

Oliveira (47', 57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nabbout (89')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 24 at 6.40am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.01%) and 3-2 (4.61%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne City
40.59% ( 0.28)	21.45% ( -0.01)	37.96% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 71.61% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.22% (

0.03)

27.77% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.54% (

0.04)

48.46% (

-0.04)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13% (

0.11)

14.87% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79% (

0.22)

43.2% (

-0.23)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12% (

-0.1)

15.88% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.89% (

-0.18)

45.1% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 40.59%

Melbourne City 37.96%

Draw 21.45%

Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.45%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 37.96%