Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 25, 2024 at 8.45am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Adelaide United

Antonis (5')
Antonis (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tunnicliffe (35'), Sanchez (79'), Jovanovic (84')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 21 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
58.57% ( 0.27)	19.06% ( -0.02)	22.38% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.12% (

-0.21)

25.88% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.94% (

-0.27)

46.07% (

0.27)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.99% (

-0)

9.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.31% (

-0.01)

30.7% (

0.01)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-0.31)

23.31% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

-0.45)

57.26% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 58.57%

Adelaide United 22.38%

Draw 19.06%

Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.59% Total : 58.57%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.06%	1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.38%