Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 10, 2024 at 7am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
5 - 1
Melbourne City

Trewin (2', 2'), Waddingham (30', 30', 46', 46'), O'Shea (33', 33'), Jelacic (39', 39')
Hore (10'), Hore (10'), Freke (88'), Freke (88')

FT(HT: 8-0)

Antonis (73', 73')
Galloway (62'), Galloway (62')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington
Friday, February 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 4-2 Melbourne City
Friday, February 2 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne City
34.18% ( 0.32)	22.61% ( 0.09)	43.21% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 66.17% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.5% (

-0.38)

34.5% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.57% (

-0.42)

56.42% (

0.42)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.02)

20.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79% (

-0.02)

53.2% (

0.02)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

-0.31)

16.61% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.56% (

-0.55)

46.43% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 34.18%

Melbourne City 43.21%

Draw 22.61%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 34.18%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.21%