Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
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-
Daniel Arzani
7'
-
Daniel Arzani
7'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
34'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
34'
-
Damien Da Silva
40'
-
Damien Da Silva
40'
-
Zinedine Machach
82'
-
Damien Da Silva
86'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
90'
-
Tolgay Arslan
4'
-
Tolgay Arslan
4'
-
Callum Talbot
27'
-
Callum Talbot
27'
-
Max Caputo
66'
-
Vicente Fernandez
83'
-
Marin Jakolis
90'+1'
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result
Melbourne Victory
45.18%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
22.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Melbourne City
32.74%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
67.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
32.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
46.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
53.98%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
27.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
72.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
84.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
15.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
56.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
43.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5
79.62%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
20.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
47.21%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
52.79%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Melbourne Victory
45.18%
Draw
22.09%
Melbourne City
32.74%
Melbourne Victory
2-1
@
8.75%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 45.18%
1-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 45.18%
Draw
1-1
@
9.24%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.09%
2-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.09%
Melbourne City
1-2
@
7.35%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 32.74%
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 32.74%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
17
-
James Jeggo
15'
-
James Jeggo
15'
-
Marin Jakolis
71'
-
Zinedine Machach
5'
-
Zinedine Machach
5'
-
Fabian Monge
35'
-
Fabian Monge
35'
-
Jason Geria
71'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
-
Marin Jakolis
25'
-
Tolgay Arslan
28'
-
Aziz Behich
45'
-
Jamie MacLaren
89'
-
Zinedine Machach
45'
-
Roderick Miranda
59'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
8
-
Aiden O'Neill
11'
-
Aiden O'Neill
57'
-
Nishan Velupillay
89'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
17
-
Damien Da Silva
7'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
46'
-
Joshua Brillante
77'
-
Mathew Leckie
24'
-
Mathew Leckie
80'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
3
-
Jamie MacLaren
17'
-
Cadete
19'
(OG)
Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
-
Jake Brimmer
7'
-
Marco Rojas
14'
-
Rai Marchan
23'
-
Marco Rojas
27'
-
Curtis Good
13'
-
Taras Gomulka
87'