Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 60.54% ( | 18.54% ( | 20.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.69% ( | 25.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.67% ( | 45.33% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.59% ( | 8.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.78% ( | 29.22% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( | 24.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( | 58.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 1-0 @ 5.01% ( 4-1 @ 4.52% ( 4-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 5-1 @ 2.24% ( 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-3 @ 1.53% ( 6-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 4.13% Total : 60.54% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0-0 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.54% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-1 @ 2.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.92% |