Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Mar 12, 2024 at 8am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
7 - 0
Western Sydney

Arslan (30', 32'), Natel (39'), Caputo (42'), Reis (72'), MacLaren (77'), Antonis (82')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ninkovic (52'), Barrie (85'), Pierias (86')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, March 9 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, March 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
47.99% ( 0.04)	21.98% ( -0.01)	30.03% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 66.5% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.75% (

0.04)

33.25% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.99% (

0.04)

55.01% (

-0.04)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

0.03)

14.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.68% (

0.05)

42.32% (

-0.05)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0)

22.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

55.77% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 47.99%

Western Sydney Wanderers 30.03%

Draw 21.98%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.99%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.03%