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Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 12, 2024 at 8am UK
AAMI Park
Western Sydney Wanderers

Melbourne City
7 - 0
Western Sydney

Arslan (30', 32'), Natel (39'), Caputo (42'), Reis (72'), MacLaren (77'), Antonis (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Ninkovic (52'), Barrie (85'), Pierias (86')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, March 9 at 8am in Australian A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, March 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
47.99% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 21.98% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 30.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 66.5% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.25% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.99% (0.042000000000002 0.04)55.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)14.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (0.051000000000002 0.05)42.32% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)22.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 47.99%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 30.03%
    Draw 21.98%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.99%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.03%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Western Sydney

Melbourne City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 9.15am
Gameweek 27
Melbourne City
0-1
Western Sydney

Ugarkovic (58'), Sakhi (80'), Arslan (90+6'), Young (90+6')
Pierias (27')
Rudan (38'), Younis (90+1')
Apr 28, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
3-2
Western Sydney
Tilio (49', 90+3'), MacLaren (75')
Borrello (41'), Milanovic (74')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 4am
Gameweek 12
Western Sydney
1-1
Melbourne City
Borrello (19')
Van der Venne (58')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Western Sydney
1-3
Melbourne City
Petratos (80' pen.)
Leckie (36', 43'), Berenguer (64')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45am
Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
3-3
Western Sydney
Galloway (16'), MacLaren (36'), Tilio (60')
Leckie (34'), Jamieson (90+3')
Troisi (5'), Rodwell (9'), Ogawa (69')
Aquilina (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


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