Apr 12, 2024 8.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Tim Payne 31'
David Ball 65'
Finn Surman 90'+5'

Fabian Monge 34'
Damien Da Silva 90'+1'

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

L
W
W
L
W
D

Australian A-League

L
W
W
L
W
D

Last game

Apr 6, 2024 7.30am

Central Coast 2 - 1 Wellington

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Kosta Barbarouses

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

W
W
D
W
L
L

Australian A-League

W
W
D
W
L
L

Last game

Apr 6, 2024 9.45am

Victory 2 - 1 Melbourne City

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 27.62% ▼ (-0.42)

Draw 22.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Melbourne Victory 49.4% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score:

60.95% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.23% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 2.5 39.77% ▲ (+0.27)

Over 3.5 37.87% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 3.5 62.13% ▲ (+0.28)

Over 4.5 20.46% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 4.5 79.54% ▲ (+0.22)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.42)

Under 0.5 27.16% ▲ (+0.43)

Over 1.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.55)

Under 1.5 62.56% ▲ (+0.56)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 83.67% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 0.5 16.33% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 1.5 54.08% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 45.92% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 27.62%

Draw 22.98%

Melbourne Victory 49.4%

Wellington Phoenix

2-1 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.07)

1-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.05)

3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.07)

3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 3.95%

Total : 27.62%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)

0-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.06)

3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.26%

Total : 22.98%

Melbourne Victory

1-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.04)

0-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.12)

0-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.12)

1-3 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.04)

0-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.08)

2-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.03)

1-4 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)

0-4 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)

2-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.44%

Total : 49.4%

Head to Head

Jan 19, 2024 6.00am

1

1

HT : 0 2

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Tim Payne 45'+8'
Tim Payne 45'+8'
Alex Rufer 90'+5'
Alex Rufer 90'+5'

Adama Traore 36'
Adama Traore 36'
Nishan Velupillay 40'
Nishan Velupillay 40'
Connor Chapman 79'
Connor Chapman 79'
Connor Chapman 79'

Nov 10, 2023 8.45am

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Marvel Stadium

Ryan Teague 14'
Jason Geria 83'

Nicholas Pennington 8'
Finn Surman 18'
Damien Da Silva 41' (OG)
Lukas Kelly-Heald 45'+4'
Tim Payne 89'

Apr 1, 2023 3.00am

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Oskar Zawada 25'

Bruno Fornaroli 58'
Damien Da Silva 76'

Feb 3, 2023 8.45am

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT AAMI Park

Bruno Fornaroli 32'
Jake Brimmer 54'
Tomi Juric 90'+1'

Oskar Zawada 13'

Apr 29, 2022 10.45am

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Nicholas D'Agostino 2'
Leigh Broxham 24'
Nicholas D'Agostino 39'
Stefan Nigro 43'
Marco Rojas 54'
Jake Brimmer 68'
Marco Rojas 78'

Scott Wootton 13'
Gael Sandoval 26'
Finn Surman 71'
Nicholas Pennington 77'

Feb 9, 2022 8.05am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

David Ball 57'
Reno Piscopo 74'
Louis Fenton 76'
Reno Piscopo 90'

Form Data

Central Coast 2 - 1 Wellington

Wellington 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Wellington 2 - 1 Sydney FC

Melbourne City 1 - 0 Wellington

Wellington 3 - 2 Adelaide United

Perth Glory 0 - 0 Wellington

Victory 2 - 1 Melbourne City

Victory 2 - 1 Perth Glory

Western Utd 2 - 2 Victory

Adelaide United 1 - 2 Victory

Brisbane Roar 3 - 2 Victory

Victory 0 - 1 Central Coast