Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 31, 2024 at 12am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Kraev (2', 2')
Ball (43'), Ball (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hore (73'), Hore (73'), Aldred (90+5'), Aldred (90+6')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 16 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
43.45% ( 0.25)	22.71% ( 0.11)	33.84% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 65.67% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.89% (

-0.65)

35.11% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.89% (

-0.72)

57.11% (

0.73)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23% (

-0.16)

16.77% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29% (

-0.29)

46.71% (

0.29)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

-0.49)

21.1% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

-0.76)

53.93% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 43.45%

Brisbane Roar 33.84%

Draw 22.71%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 43.45%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.76% Total : 33.84%