Mar 31, 2024 12.00am

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Bozhidar Kraev 2'
Bozhidar Kraev 2'
David Ball 43'
David Ball 43'
Alex Rufer 81'
Alex Rufer 81'

Henry Hore 73'
Henry Hore 73'
Tom Aldred 90'+5'
Tom Aldred 90'+6'

Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

W
L
W
D
W
W

Australian A-League

W
L
W
D
W
W

Last game

Mar 16, 2024 4.30am

Wellington 2 - 1 Sydney FC

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Kosta Barbarouses

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

L
D
W
D
L
W

Australian A-League

L
D
W
D
L
W

Last game

Mar 16, 2024 5.00am

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Macarthur

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Thomas Waddingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 43.45% ▲ (+0.26)

Draw 22.71% ▲ (+0.11)

Brisbane Roar 33.84% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score:

65.67% ▼ (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.89% ▼ (-0.65)

Under 2.5 35.11% ▲ (+0.65)

Over 3.5 42.89% ▼ (-0.73)

Under 3.5 57.11% ▲ (+0.73)

Over 4.5 24.5% ▼ (-0.61)

Under 4.5 75.5% ▲ (+0.61)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 83.23% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 0.5 16.77% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 1.5 53.29% ▼ (-0.29)

Under 1.5 46.71% ▲ (+0.30)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% ▼ (-0.49)

Under 0.5 21.1% ▲ (+0.49)

Over 1.5 46.07% ▼ (-0.77)

Under 1.5 53.93% ▲ (+0.77)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 43.45%

Draw 22.71%

Brisbane Roar 33.84%

Wellington Phoenix

2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.07)

1-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.18)

2-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.13)

3-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.06)

4-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.04)

4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 4.42%

Total : 43.45%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.13)

2-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.06)

0-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.12)

3-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 0.41%

Total : 22.71%

Brisbane Roar

1-2 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.02)

0-1 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.10)

0-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.09)

0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)

1-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.06)

2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 3.76%

Total : 33.84%

Head to Head

Feb 2, 2024 8.45am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

James Nikolovski 59'
Louis Zabala 90'+1'
Corey Brown 90'+4'

Bozhidar Kraev 51'
Nicholas Pennington 64'
Bozhidar Kraev 89'

Nov 4, 2023 4.30am

5

2

HT : 4 2

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Tim Payne 24'
Tim Payne 24'
Oskar Zawada 32'
Oskar Zawada 32'
Bozhidar Kraev 33'
Bozhidar Kraev 33'
Bozhidar Kraev 58'
Bozhidar Kraev 58'
Oskar Zawada 63'
Oskar Zawada 63'
Oskar Zawada 80'
Oskar Zawada 80'
Oskar Zawada 90'+2'
Oskar Zawada 90'+2'

Florin Berenguer 1'
Florin Berenguer 1'
Nikola Mileusnic 53'
Nikola Mileusnic 53'

Apr 16, 2023 4.00am

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Westpac Stadium

Oskar Zawada 35'
Yan Sasse 56'

Jay O'Shea 8'
Scott Neville 82'

Jan 14, 2023 6.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

Oskar Zawada 65'

Mar 30, 2022 9.05am

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Luke Ivanovic 17'
Anton Mlinaric 45'+1'
Jay O'Shea 72'

Scott Neville 28' (OG)
Ben Waine 48'
Ben Old 57'

Mar 12, 2022 6.05am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Rahmat Akbari 7'
Juan Lescano 25'
26'
Jesse Daley 57'
Henry Hore 76'

Tim Payne 31'
Alex Rufer 36'
Gary Hooper 72'
David Ball 90'+4'

Form Data

Wellington 2 - 1 Sydney FC

Melbourne City 1 - 0 Wellington

Wellington 3 - 2 Adelaide United

Perth Glory 0 - 0 Wellington

Macarthur 1 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 0 Western Utd

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Macarthur

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 3 - 2 Victory

Brisbane Roar 2 - 2 Western Utd

Perth Glory 3 - 2 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 5 - 1 Melbourne City