Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 52.01% ( | 21.25% ( | 26.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.91% ( | 32.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.33% ( | 53.67% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( | 12.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.06% ( | 38.94% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( | 23.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( | 57.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-3 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.73% |