Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 15, 2024 at 8.45am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Adelaide United

Aquilina (5'), Ingham (33'), Mauragis (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mauk (42'), Jovanovic (80')
Warland (12'), Clough (25'), Mauk (27'), Sanchez (60'), Alagich (67')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 9 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Adelaide United
41.82% ( -0.31)	22.4% ( -0.2)	35.79% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 67.47% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.01% (

1.14)

32.99% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.29% (

1.3)

54.71% (

-1.3)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

0.34)

16.55% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

0.61)

46.32% (

-0.61)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

0.77)

19.15% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.19% (

1.25)

50.81% (

-1.26)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 41.82%

Adelaide United 35.79%

Draw 22.4%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.56% Total : 41.82%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.79%