Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 7, 2024 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
3 - 1
Sydney FC

Taylor (19', 19'), Piscopo (28', 28'), Stamatelopoulos (60', 60')
Stynes (7'), Stynes (7'), Timmins (50'), Timmins (50')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Gomes (45', 45')
Talay (8'), Talay (8'), Lacerda (58'), Lacerda (58')
Mak (37'), Mak (37')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney FC
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Sydney FC
30.23% ( 0.06)	21.44% ( 0.06)	48.33% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 68.71% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.58% (

-0.24)

30.42% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.3% (

-0.29)

51.7% (

0.29)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

-0.09)

20.78% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

-0.14)

53.43% (

0.14)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.74% (

-0.12)

13.26% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.96% (

-0.25)

40.04% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 30.23%

Sydney FC 48.33%

Draw 21.44%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.23%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.33%