Australian A-League | Gameweek 2

Oct 26, 2024 at 9.35am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 3
Victory

Nabbout (64')
Ugarkovic (40'), Ugarkovic (40')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Velupillay (5', 5'), Vergos (13', 13'), Teague (25', 25')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Central Coast 0-0 Victory
Friday, October 18 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
41.64% ( -0.16)	24.76% ( -0.04)	33.6% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.05% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

0.26)

45.04% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

0.25)

67.39% (

-0.25)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.03)

21.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.05)

54.77% (

-0.05)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

0.25)

25.91% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09% (

0.33)

60.9% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 41.64%

Melbourne Victory 33.6%

Draw 24.76%

Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.64%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.6%