Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 71.44% ( | 15.74% ( | 12.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.75% ( | 27.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.2% ( | 47.79% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.24% ( | 6.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.04% ( | 24.96% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( | 70.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 3-1 @ 8.08% ( 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 4-1 @ 5.44% ( 4-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 4-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-1 @ 2.93% ( 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 6-1 @ 1.32% ( 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.44% | 1-1 @ 6.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.74% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 12.82% |