Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 7, 2024 at 8am UK

HBF Park

Perth Glory
2 - 4
Adelaide United

Taggart (22', 27')
Susnjar (39'), Rawlins (55'), Carluccio (88')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Ibusuki (30', 50'), Clough (41'), Mauk (45+6')
Lopez (86')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney FC
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-1 Western Utd
Friday, March 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Adelaide United
35.55% ( 0.25)	21.16% ( -0.03)	43.29% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 72.35% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.33% (

0.22)

26.67% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.93% (

0.29)

47.07% (

-0.28)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

0.21)

16.39% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.97% (

0.38)

46.03% (

-0.38)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

0.02)

13.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53% (

0.03)

40.46% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 35.55%

Adelaide United 43.29%

Draw 21.16%

Perth Glory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 35.55%	1-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.16%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.29%