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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Western United

Adelaide United
4 - 1
Western Utd

Irankunda (19', 46', 48'), Clough (80' pen.)
Irankunda (58'), Van Der Saag (60'), Lopez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ruhs (50')
Risdon (40'), Ruhs (58'), Thurgate (70'), Danzaki (90+4')
Imai (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United
Friday, March 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
48.94% (1.101 1.1)21.16% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)29.89% (-1.111 -1.11)
Both teams to score 69.57% (-0.767 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.77% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)29.22% (0.709 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.75% (-0.872 -0.87)50.25% (0.871 0.87)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.63% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.23% (0.162 0.16)38.77% (-0.162 -0.16)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.949 -0.95)20.37% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-1.535 -1.54)52.78% (1.533 1.53)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 48.94%
    Western United 29.89%
    Draw 21.16%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.255 0.26)
1-0 @ 5.32% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.188 0.19)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.075 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.102 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 8.47% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.57% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.89%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 6am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
1-3
Adelaide United
Wales (53')
Lustica (49')
Halloran (30'), Popovic (56'), Jovanovic (63')
Duzel (69')
Apr 16, 2023 8am
Gameweek 24
Adelaide United
0-1
Western Utd
Pain (44')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Western Utd
2-3
Adelaide United
Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 6am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
2-4
Adelaide United
Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')
Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')
May 8, 2022 9.20am
Gameweek 25
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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