Australian A-League

May 5, 2024 at 8am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Velupillay (88')
Arzani (11'), Fornaroli (50'), Da Silva (115')

FT
(aet)

Souprayen (29')
Souprayen (5'), Jeggo (38'), MacLaren (41'), Antonis (90+2'), Good (102')
Good (118')

Victory win 3-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 3-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 27 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, April 28 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%).

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Melbourne City
42.14% ( 0.62)	22.31% ( 0.05)	35.54% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 67.73% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.37% (

-0.4)

32.62% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.71% (

-0.46)

54.29% (

0.46)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

0.08)

16.27% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

0.14)

45.82% (

-0.14)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.5)

19.1% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27% (

-0.82)

50.72% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 42.14%

Melbourne City 35.54%

Draw 22.31%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.14%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.54%